What’s at stake in the Google antitrust case? Billions of dollars (and the way we use the internet)

Date: 2024-05-04
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In Apple's Safari browser, whenever you input a search — let's say, on an iPhone — chances are it's Google that furnishes the results.

You can instruct Safari to opt for another search engine, but in practice, most individuals tend to adhere to Google by default.

You may be aware that Google allocates substantial sums of money annually to Apple for that prominent placement. However, you might not be privy to the extent of it.

As of May 2021, according to the US government, Google was remitting to Apple over $1 billion per month, and up to $20 billion in total in 2022 — solely for the privilege of being Apple’s primary search engine.

These staggering figures, recently unveiled this week, stem from a significant antitrust lawsuit against Google now reaching its final stages. They underscore the monumental stakes of a case that could overhaul how millions of Americans seek information online and, as some suggest, redefine the fierce competition for supremacy in artificial intelligence.

On Thursday, the Justice Department launched its ultimate assault on Google’s search engine dominance, concluding a case that commenced during the Trump administration and endeavoring to convince a federal judge that Google unlawfully monopolized the online search sector through payments akin to those made to Apple.

The closing arguments in the case will extend through Friday, with District Judge Amit Mehta anticipated to render a decision later this year after presiding over an arduous 10-week trial last autumn, mostly behind closed doors.

The ramifications could extend far and wide across the tech landscape, acting as a litmus test not only for the billions Google disburses to Apple, wireless carriers, and other device manufacturers but for a slew of tech antitrust litigations progressing through the judicial system.

Government prosecutors contend that Google upheld an illicit monopoly through a labyrinth of agreements that entrenched its search engine as the default option on myriad devices and browsers worldwide.

According to the DOJ's claims, these agreements empowered Google to erect an impregnable search empire that amassed increasing amounts of data on user search behavior — fostering a feedback loop enabling Google to refine its product further to the detriment of fair competition. During the trial, Microsoft informed the court that Google aims to leverage this search data advantage into an advantage in artificial intelligence by training its models on vast troves of search queries inaccessible to others.

Google counters that consumers select its search engine simply because it is superior, not due to any anticompetitive conduct, and that Google’s search bolsters its Android operating system, competing with Apple. Google asserts that nothing prevented Apple from selecting an alternative default search partner.

However, DOJ attorneys have cast doubt on the rationale behind Google’s payments and contracts. They question why, if Google's product genuinely surpasses the competition and if switching search engines is as effortless as Google suggests, would Google expend tens of billions of dollars annually to secure default search provider status everywhere?

‘Microsoft couldn’t do it’

Throughout the legal proceedings, Mehta has maintained a poker face, revealing little of his own inclinations. At the close of last autumn's trial, he disclosed to both parties that he remained genuinely undecided.

“I can honestly say, sitting here today, I haven't a clue what my decision will be,” Mehta remarked last November.

Mehta upheld this stance on Thursday, challenging both sides with probing inquiries during the initial day of closing arguments.

At one juncture, Mehta highlighted to Google's counsel, John Schmidtlein, that to overthrow Google’s predominant position, a theoretical competitor would not only require investing billions in a viable alternative search engine but also billions to contend with Google’s agreements with Apple and other entities.

“If that's the prerequisite for someone to challenge Google's dominance as the default search engine, wouldn't the architects of the Sherman Act be alarmed?” Mehta queried, referring to a pivotal US antitrust statute. “I can't envision a scenario in which another competitor, especially a newcomer, could accomplish that. Even Microsoft couldn't manage it.”

Schmidtlein retorted that US antitrust law safeguards the competitive process, not individual competitors.

The timeline for District Judge Amit Mehta's decision following this week's arguments remains uncertain. However, if he aligns with the US government and identifies fault with Google, it would instigate a separate phase to determine the penalties Google may encounter.

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